Bitcoin price corrects after hitting a wall at a multi-month descending trendline


On Aug. 15, Bitcoin (BTC) worth and the broader market corrected whereas the S&P 500 and DOW appeared to construct on four-straight weeks of strong positive aspects. Information from TradingView and CNBC show the Dow pushing by way of its 200-day transferring common, a primary since April 21 and maybe an indication for bulls that the market has bottomed. 

Dow Jones Industrial Common Index (DJI). Supply: TradingView

Whereas equities markets have been strikingly bullish within the face of excessive inflation and a gradual schedule of rate of interest hikes, quite a few merchants concern that the present 32-day uptrend within the DOW and S&P 500 could possibly be a bear market rally.

Related articles

This week’s (Aug. 17) launch of minutes from the Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) ought to give extra context to the Federal Reserve’s present view of the well being of america economic system and maybe make clear the dimensions of the following rate of interest hike.

For the previous month, overly bullish crypto merchants on Twitter have additionally been touting a story that emphasizes Bitcoin, Ether (ETH) and altcoins promoting off previous to FOMC conferences after which rallying afterward if the set price aligns with traders’ projected determine.

In some way, this short-term dynamic additionally contributes to traders’ perception that the Fed will “pivot” away from its financial coverage of curiosity hikes and quantitative tightening after “inflation peaks.” This can be a considerably worthwhile commerce for savvy day-traders, nevertheless it’s vital to notice that inflation is at present at 8.5% and the Fed’s goal is 2%, which is sort of aways to go.

Finally, Bitcoin worth maintains a excessive correlation to the S&P 500 so traders could be sensible to keep away from tunnel vision-like narratives that align with their bias and regulate the efficiency of equities markets.

Bitcoin sells-off at a multi-month trendline resistance

Over the weekend, Bitcoin made a robust transfer at a multi-month descending trendline and broke by way of the $24,000 stage, following a path that many merchants anticipated would set off an upside transfer and the VPVR hole fill to the $28,000 to $29,000 stage.

Dealer Cheds said “BTC actually appeared prefer it was going to go final evening” however the promoting at resistance created an “exterior bar” the place “the prior development was challenged” and in line with Cheds, this can be a signal that “the development could also be stalling and be on the look out for indicators of additional weakening.”

Pseudonymous dealer “Massive Smokey” appeared to concur {that a} “strong directional move” could possibly be on the playing cards, citing tightening within the Bollinger Bands and individually within the Tremendous Guppy indicators as Bitcoin worth drew near the multi-month descending trendline.

In a separate chart, Massive Smokey suggested that if the descending trendline is damaged, Bitcoin may see “a 26% pop to $28K earlier than extra sideways chop,” leading to an eventual retest of the $24,000 stage.

After hitting related overhead resistance ranges, most altcoins additionally adopted Bitcoin’s lead by posting single-digit losses, however people who had been flashing bottoming alerts are nonetheless rounding out with what seem like reversal patterns.

AVAX, FTM and SOL each day chart. Supply: TradingView

Associated: Shiba Inu eyes 50% rally as SHIB price enters ‘cup-and-handle’ breakout mode

Each canine has its day

Curiously, on Sunday (Aug. 14) in style merchants on Crypto Twitter prophesied that the sharp positive aspects from meme tokens like Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Dogecoin (DOGE) had been a transparent signal that the bull phase was over-extended and en path to a correction.

Finally, after a 130% and 42.5% rally from Ether and BTC, every was poised for a little bit of revenue taking, particularly at resistance. Open Curiosity on each property stays close to all-time highs, however what it’s going to take to set off BTC to breakout or breakdown on the multi-month descending trendline is unknown.

Maybe a 1% price hike, stiffer crypto rules or a shock turn-around in equities markets may ship worth tumbling again towards yearly lows. Alternatively, a profitable Ethereum Merge could possibly be a constructive catalyst that triggers a excessive quantity surge above Bitcoin’s key resistance stage.

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the writer and don’t essentially mirror the views of Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails danger, it’s best to conduct your personal analysis when making a choice.