Litecoin grapples with ‘double top’ risks after LTC price rallies 37% in November


A 37% November value rally in Litecoin (LTC) dangers exhaustion because the “silver cryptocurrency” hints at forming a double high chart sample.

The classic bearish reversal setup seems when the worth kinds two consecutive peaks of just about the identical peak, with every upside transfer assembly with a robust correction towards a standard help stage, referred to as the “neckline.”

Related articles

Sometimes, the worth breaks under the help and falls by as a lot as the utmost peak between the double high’s peak and neckline.

So it seems, Litecoin is midway by means of forming a double high sample, as proven within the chart under.

LTC/USD four-hour value chart that includes “double high” sample. Supply: TradingView

Intimately, LTC’s price peaked out on Nov. 10 close to $295.50 — the primary high — earlier than correcting decrease towards the neckline help of round $249. That adopted up with a rebound to $280 — the second high — ultimately attracting profit-takers to trigger a minor correction, which continues to be underway.

Litecoin would want to increase its selloff to retest the neckline. In the meantime, breaking under the help stage would activate the double high breakout setup, with the revenue goal sitting close to $200.

The Bitcoin correlation

Litecoin’s bearish reversal sample is rising when inflation in the United States has surged to a three-decade excessive, prompting traders to hunt a hedge throughout numerous monetary devices.

As an illustration, probably the most actively traded gold futures currently posted to its greatest week in six months, leaping 2.9% to $1,868.50 per troy ounce, after the U.S. Labor Division reported a rise within the shopper value index (CPI) by 6.2% year-over-year. That marked the fifth-straight month of inflation above 5%.

Many traders and/or merchants turned to Bitcoin (BTC) after perceiving it as a security internet towards rising inflation, famous Wilfred Daye, head of Securitize Capital — the asset-management arm of Securitize Inc — admitting that individuals have picked the cryptocurrency as a hedge regardless of its regarding value volatility.

“We don’t have lengthy sufficient historical past to claim Bitcoin is certainly an inflation hedge,” Daye said, including:

“I’d argue that gold is a greater inflation hedge nonetheless. However Bitcoin as an inflation hedge is a brand new horny idea — folks love new concepts.”

Bitcoin’s development has additionally helped altcoins rise in tandem because of its broader affect throughout the crypto market. Litecoin has been one of many beneficiaries of the rally, with its one-year correlation effectivity with Bitcoin standing at 0.71 above zero, per knowledge collected from Cryptowatch.

LTC/USD versus BTC/USD four-hour value chart. Supply: TradingView

Because of this, considerations over persistently increased inflation have acted as a tailwind for Litecoin good points by means of Bitcoin. That might considerably play spoilers for the bearish double high setup offered above — and validate a bullish sample that has been energetic since final weekend.

Litecoin “bull pennant” places LTC goal at $350

Dubbed a bull pennant, the bullish continuation sample seems when the worth consolidates sideways inside a triangular construction after a robust rally upward. Merchants verify a bullish breakout when the worth breaks above the triangle’s higher trendline with sturdy volumes.

Associated: Litecoin hits 6-month high as LTC price soars 20% in 24 hours

In doing so, they eye the extent at size equal to the peak of the earlier uptrend (aka flagpole) as their revenue goal. Because of this, Litecoin’s value eyes an prolonged upside transfer towards $350, as proven through the setup within the chart under.

LTC/USD 4-hour value chart that includes bull pennant setup. Supply: TradingView

In the meantime, failing to have a decisively bullish follow-through dangers activating the double high setup. That brings the “multi-month ascending trendline help” within the image as the subsequent draw back goal ought to there be a bearish breakdown transfer; coincidentally, the goal can also be close to $200.

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the creator and don’t essentially replicate the views of Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, you need to conduct your personal analysis when making a call.